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Daily Market Feed Post Market Analysis

Sellers Trapped! Bullish Monthly Expiry? – Post-Market Analysis

post-market analysis | marketfeed

NIFTY started the day at 19,637 with a gap-down of 27 points. The index initially fell nearly 100 points till 19,550 levels in an hour. Then, the markets reversed with strength, recovering nearly 175 points from the day’s low to 19,730 levels. Nifty closed at 19,716, up by 51 points or 0.26%.

Nifty chart - post-market analysis | marketfeed

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 44,465 with a gap-down of 160 points. After consolidating initially, the index gave a sharp fall of 300 points to 44,180 levels. Then, similar to Nifty, BNF gave a strong upward rally of 500 points till 44,700 levels. BNF closed at 44,588, down by 36 points or 0.08%.

Bank Nifty chart - post-market analysis | marketfeed

All other indices except Nifty Finserv (-0.13%) closed flat-to-green. Nifty Pharma (+1.19%) moved up the most.

Major Asian markets closed mixed. European markets are currently trading flat-to-red.

Today’s Moves

L&T (+1.8%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. The company’s ₹10,000 crore share buyback plan was subscribed over 7 times.

ITI Ltd (+7.13%) moved up on the back of strong volumes. The stock has rallied nearly 70% in September after the company said it successfully developed branded laptops and micro PCs under the name ‘Smaash’.

Senco Gold (+14%) surged after Ambit Capital said it’s bullish on the company’s expansion prospects in East India.

Titan Company (-1.47%) was NIFTY50’s top loser.

Vedanta (-6.7%) fell sharply to hit a 14-month low after ratings agency Moody’s downgraded the corporate family rating of parent Vedanta Resources Ltd.

Markets Ahead

Markets reversed with a lot of strength from the lows (with help from Reliance and ITC). But it’s currently taking resistance from important levels (23% Fibonacci levels from the top).

Nifty: The important resistance to watch out for is 19,740, which is also the 23% rejection level. A breakout from this level could give us targets of 19,790 and 19,840. Meanwhile, immediate support for Nifty is near 19,680 levels. A breakdown from there can give us targets of 19,630 and 19,560.

Bank Nifty: The index faces an important resistance near 44,700 levels, which is also the 23% fib level. A breakout from 44,700 could give us targets of 44,800 and 44,900. The immediate support is near 44,500 round levels, and a breakdown from here will give us targets of 44,320 and 44,200.

Being monthly expiry tomorrow, if there is a gap-down, major indices could fall further down. If there’s a gap-up, they could be volatile and bullish.

As per reports, concerns about global interest rates and high crude oil prices are being balanced by positive domestic factors like expected economic growth and the potential for good corporate earnings.

What levels are you watching out for monthly expiry tomorrow? Let us know in the comments section!

Don’t forget to tune in to The Stock Market Show at 7 PM on our YouTube channel!

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Daily Market Feed Pre Market Report

Is it Time to Exhibit Strength? Pre Market Analysis

Here are some of the major updates that could move the markets today:

Stocks

Wipro reported a nearly 12% year-on-year (YoY) rise in consolidated net profit for the quarter ended June to Rs 2,870 crore. Consolidated revenue increased 6% to Rs 22,831 crore.

Shares of Bandhan Bank, JSW Energy and Just Dial will be in focus today as the companies will report their first quarter results.

Shares of Senco Gold will debut on the exchanges today after a strong response for its IPO.

What to Expect Today?

NIFTY opened with a gap-up at 19,469 and rallied heavily. The index formed a new All-time high and consolidated at the top. There was a huge fall in the second half and the index closed at 19,413, up by 29 points or 0.15%.

BANK NIFTY opened with a gap-up at 44,894 and moved higher. The index faced resistance near 45,100 and started falling slowly. 44,940 was broken and the fall intensified. BN closed at 44,665, up by 26 points or 0.06%.

IT closed 1.75% higher.

The US markets and the European markets closed higher.

The Asian markets are trading higher.

The U.S. Futures and European futures are trading lower.

GIFT NIFTY is trading flat at 19,555.

All the factors combined indicate a flat opening.

NIFTY has supports at 19,360, 19,320, 19,265 and 19,200. We can expect resistances at 19,435, 19,500, 19,550 and 19,600.

BANK NIFTY has supports at 44,560, 44,440 and 44,280. Resistances are at 44,720, 44,950, 45,100 and 45,370.

NIFTY has the highest call OI build-up at 19,500. The highest put OI build-up is at 19,300. 

BANK NIFTY has the highest call OI build-up at 45,000. The highest put OI build-up is at 44,500.

Foreign Institutional Investors net-bought shares worth Rs 1,200 crores. Domestic Institutional Investors net-sold shares worth 2,200 crores.

INDIA VIX is at 10.9.

The story we discussed on the Stock Market Show played out yesterday. We were expecting the put OI to increase with a possible up-move and in case that happens, it would be the perfect recipe for a fall.

There were stiff resistances for Bank Nifty and those played their role. When long unwinding joined, there came the big fall.

Let us see if we get an up-move today because that is what we usually see after long unwinding. At the same time, we cannot expect a very big up-move, unlike it happens during short covering.

The global markets are supportive as of now. Looking at data and cues, there is no weakness. US PPI came out at its best in three years.

I will watch 19,360 on the downside in NIFTY. 19,500 can be watched on the upside.

Make sure that you tune in to The Stock Market Show at 7 PM on our YoutTube channel ‘marketfeed by Sharique Samsudheen’. Follow us on the marketfeed app’s Signal section to get real-time updates from the market. All the best for the day!