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Calm Fin Nifty Expiry! – Post-Market Analysis

NIFTY started the day at 19,374 with a gap-up of 68 points. The index immediately fell below the resistance levels of 19,360 levels and mostly moved in a very small range of 40 points throughout the day between 19,320 and 19,360 levels. Nifty closed at 19,342, up by 36 points or 0.19%.

Nifty chart August 29 - post-market analysis

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 44,655 with a gap-up of 161 points. Initially, the index fell to 44,500 levels. Then, similar to Nifty, BNF also consolidated within a range of 100-120 points and closed exactly at yesterday’s closing price of 44,495.

Bank Nifty chart August 29 - post-market analysis

All indices except Nifty PSU Bank (-0.49%), Nifty FMCG (-0.33%), and Nifty Pharma (-0.27%) closed flat-to-green. Nifty Realty (+1.69%) and Nifty Metal (+1.28%) moved up the most.

Major Asian markets closed in the green. European markets are currently trading in the green.

Today’s Moves

Hindalco (+2.18%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. 

Other metal stocks like Jindal Stainless (+3.68%), NALCO (+2.54%), Jindal Steel (+3.12%), Tata Steel (+1.6%), etc., also moved up with strength. 

BEML (+13.17%) surged on the back of a strong order book position of over ₹10,000 crore.

Bharti Airtel (-1.74%) was NIFTY50’s top loser. In a block deal, 1.1 cr shares (0.16% equity) of the telecom company worth ₹922.8 crore changed hands at an average of ₹852.9 per share.

Union Bank (-6.3%) fell sharply today. The bank raised equity capital of ₹5,000 crore through a qualified institutional placement (QIP) on Aug. 25, 2023.

Markets Ahead

Buyers are trying to hold the important support levels of 19,300 in Nifty and 44,500 in Bank Nifty. Both indices haven’t crossed the levels we discussed in yesterday’s post-market analysis, and consolidated today.

Nifty: The immediate support for Nifty will be 19,300, and immediate resistance will be 19,360 levels. A breakout from here could give us a target of 19,420, and a breakdown can give us targets of 19,240 and 19,100, eventually.

Bank Nifty: The make-or-break level will be 44,500 as the index closed exactly there. A gap down could take the index to 44,430 and 44,350 on the downside. Meanwhile, 44,670 and 44,750 levels can be watched on the upside.

Fin Nifty: The index had a very calm day as the index consolidated throughout the day within the 50-point range (near 19,800). So it was an easy day for option sellers today.

Heavyweight stock Reliance Industries has fallen for the fourth consecutive trading session, exerting downward pressure on Nifty! This marks the first time in three months that RIL has experienced such sustained losses.

How did FIN NIFTY expiry go? Are you in net profit or loss today? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

marketfeed wishes all our readers a VERY HAPPY ONAM! 🌼

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Daily Market Feed Post Market Analysis

Volatile Monthy Expiry! Metal Stocks Shine – Post-Market Analysis

NIFTY started the day flat at 19,729 with a gap-up of 57 points. The index immediately fell, taking rejection from the earlier support zone of 19,700. It moved down till yesterday’s low of 19,660 zones (making lower lows), gave a strong pull-back to the 19,700 zone, and took rejection there. Then, Nifty gave a good fall to 19,620 levels and took support from there to move again sharply to the rejection zone of 19,700. Nifty closed at 19,680, up by 8.25 points or 0.04%.

NIFTY chart - July 25

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 46,154 with a gap-up of 231 points. The index fell to the 45,900-600 support zones but couldn’t sustain. After the breakdown and re-test of those levels, Bank Nifty further fell to 45,600 levels to take support and gave a huge recovery till the rejection zone of 45,900 zones. BNF closed at 45,845, down by 78 points or 0.17%. 

Bank Nifty chart - July 25

Nifty Metal (+2.94%) and Nifty Media (+1.5%) moved up the most, while Nifty PSU Bank (-1.4%) fell sharply. 

Major Asian markets closed mixed. European markets are currently trading in the green.

Today’s Moves

Hindalco (+3.82%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. 

Metal stocks Tata Steel (+3.25%), JSW Steel (+3.2%), NTPC (+2.4%), NALCO (+2.9%), Hindustan Copper (+5.4%), and others surged today.

Jyothy Labs (+19.9%) rallied after its net profit jumped 102% to ₹96.25 crore on the back of moderating input costs and a stable demand environment in Q1 FY24.

Asian Paints (-4.04%) was NIFTY50’s top loser. The company’s consolidated net profit rose 53% YoY to Rs 1,550 crore; beating street estimates.

ITC (-1.9%) continued its fall after announcing the demerger of its hotel business.

Olectra Greentech (-9%) shares have fallen 21% in 7 days. BSE and NSE have placed the stock under the long-term ASM framework.

Markets Ahead

Markets have turned bearish, and the levels mentioned in yesterday’s post-market analysis acted as planned. Our targets of 19,560 in Nifty and 45,500 in Bank Nifty are still intact. So if there’s a follow-up tomorrow, those targets could be hit!

Nifty: Now, the important resistance is clearly 19,700 and the important support is near 19,560 (which also coincides with the falling channel pattern low). If there’s a flat opening tomorrow below 19,700, Nifty can have another round of sell-off tomorrow. On the other hand, if there’s a breakout from the 19,700 level, the index can move to the 19,770 resistance level.

Bank Nifty: The index is now below the support zone of 45,900 and has turned bearish. But on a 5 min chart, there’s a bullish head and shoulder pattern that’s been formed. So if the index crosses 45,800 tomorrow, we can expect it to fall to today’s low and eventually till the 45,500 level. If there’s a breakout from 46,000 levels, Bank Nifty can move to 46,250 as the first target.

FIN NIFTY was super volatile like Nifty and Bank Nifty on expiry day. The index made some crazy moves, creating trouble for both option buyers and sellers. But if you were a safe/conservative option seller, you would have made money!

Meanwhile, business activity in the U.S. slowed to a five-month low in July, dragged down by decelerating service-sector growth. The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) meeting will begin today. Investors are expecting the group to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to their highest level since 2001.

How did your expiry trading go? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.