Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week

A week of all-time highs!

NIFTY opened the week with a gap-down at 17,451 and the next day it fell near 17,330s. From that point, it turned bullish, and then on Friday it hit a fresh all-time high at 17,947. Nifty closed the week at 17,853, nearly 1.5% up from the previous week.

The Evegrande issue from China had some negative impacts on the global markets during the early days of the week. But the Central Bank of China neutralized it by injecting 16 billion dollars into the economy and Global markets reacted positively to it. 

Outcomes of the U.S Federal meeting also triggered the American markets to move up and closed the week in the green.

Bank Nifty opened the week with a nearly 1% gap-down and on Thursday it fell heavily near 36500. As we all know, 36,500 is a super support for Bank Nifty and from there it bounced back, similar to Nifty. On Friday, it touched exactly the previous all-time high at 38,112, consolidated, and closed at 37,830.

On Friday we witnessed some profit booking after Nifty hit a fresh all-time in the morning session. But keep in mind that the sell-off wasn’t strong enough on that day.

Foreign Institutional Investors(FIIs) net sold Rs 8.38 crore worth in the cash market, with the month’s total inflow now standing at over Rs 7,137.72 crores.

Domestic institutional investors(DIIs) net bought Rs 30,48 crore worth of shares during the week.

Week Ahead

We can expect China’s Evergrande-related news in the coming week as another interest payment on bond is due on Wednesday.

India VIX itself was highly volatile and crossed above 16 after 11 weeks.

The highest call OI stands at 18500 followed by 18000 and 17900. Highest Put OI is at 17000 followed by 17500, 17700 & 17800.

Major stocks including Reliance, Kotak Bank, L&T, Bajaj Finserv hit fresh all-time highs.  You can watch out for 2500 and 2000 levels in Reliance and Kotak Bank respectively.

Auto sales data will be released from October 1 and we can expect movements in the sector. Major auto manufacturers had to cut down production due to the semiconductor shortage.

The U.S. markets opened with a gap-down on Friday, slowly moved up, and closed flat. SGX Nifty closed below 17,900 on Friday with total consolidation.

Markit Manufacturing PMI for September and foreign exchange reserves for the week ended September 24 will be out on Friday.

Nifty formed a consolidating red candle on Friday, but it hasn’t lost its strength.  17,350-17400 will continue to act as a medium-term support zone for the index. On the upper side 18000 and 17,950(near the all-time high) will act as resistance for the index.

Will have to keep watching the Asian markets tomorrow morning to see how they react. 

What do you think will happen to Nifty this week? Can we expect some consolidation in the coming week as Nifty and Bank Nifty are currently near strong resistances, but with good bullish strength? Let us know what you think in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week

NIFTY opened the week flat at 17,363 and continued its consolidation from last week. The inflation data from India did not cause any volatility on Monday. But as the days went on, the index kept moving up and up.

The U.S. Inflation data showed a 5.3% increase year-on-year for August and our market gave a breakout on this day, while many international markets moved down. Nifty closed the week at 17,585, up nearly 190 points for the week.

Telecom stocks and associated banks turned bullish after the Indian government announced multiple reforms to help the debt-ridden sector. Shares of struggling company Vodafone Idea shot up 38% in the week with this announcement. Airtel gained 6.5% in the week.

In other news, a production-linked incentive for the automotive segment was approved. 

On Thursday, Bank Nifty turned ultra bullish on hopes of announcement of a Bad Bank by the Finance Minister. This was announced after market hours with guarantees for security receipts worth Rs 30,600-crore to be issued by National Asset Reconstruction Company (NARCL), or the bad bank.

Public Sector Banks moved up in the week with the telecom sector news and the announcement of the bad bank.

On Friday, we saw a correction after Nifty opened with a gap-up and touched a fresh all-time high near 17,800 but closed with a red candle.

Foreign Institutional Investors(FIIs) net bought Rs 6,476 crore worth in the cash market, with the month’s total now standing at over Rs 7,200 crore.

Domestic institutional investors(DIIs) net sold Rs 2,896 crore worth of shares during the week.

Week Ahead

On Friday, there was the GST Council meeting with small updates from the council. There is no change in GST for Petrol and Diesel.

India VIX has gone up to 15.23, moving more than 10% in the week.

Evergrande group in China with debts of nearly $600 Billion has defaulted. This may cause a ripple effect in the global economy as even the 2008 economic crash in Lehman Brothers was for nearly the same amount.

The highest call OI stands at 18,000 followed by 117,800 and 17,600. Highest Put OI is at 17,000 followed by 17,500 and 17,600. 

Kotak Bank has nearly completed its breakout, crossing above 2,000 after many months. IndusInd Bank also shot up and hit multi-month highs giving a breakout.

The U.S. markets moved down on Friday with index and stock futures and options expiring on that day. SGX Nifty moved down to 17,400 by yesterday, showing a fall.

Nifty seems to follow proper support at 17,400 and 17,200 for the short-term. 17,000 will continue to act as a medium-term support for the index. 17,600 and 17,800(the all-time high) will act as resistances for the index.

There is also a U.S. Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, keep an eye out for this.

Will have to keep watching the Asian markets tomorrow morning to see how they react to the Evergrande issue and the fall in the U.S. markets.

What do you think will happen to Nifty this week? Will the market see profit booking or consolidate? Let us know what you think in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week

NIFTY opened at 17400 with a huge gap up on Monday and consolidated for the week, moving between 180 points.

The index ended just 30 points down at 17369. Markets were closed on Friday on account of Ganesh Chathurthi.

Reliance was the main reason for the gap up but the stock consolidated during the week. 

IT stocks moved well especially TCS and Infosys. 

Jio Phone launch is delayed due to semiconductor shortage. 

Zomato stops its grocery business. With firms given high targets for the stock, let’s see how it moves next week. 

Foreign Institutional Investors became net sellers and sold Rs 1,114 crores. Domestic Institutional Investors have bought for over 1,115 crores this week

Week Ahead

Volatility is down as VIX is down to 14 this week. Consolidation in the market. 

Global markets are down as there are inflation worries. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August is expected on Tuesday.

The highest call OI stands at 18,000 followed by 17400. Highest Put OI is at 16,500 followed by 17,300. 

There are high call OI buildups at 37000 and 37500. Puts are low compared to calls. Banknifty would probably consolidate between 36000 and 37000. 

Nifty tried to breach the 17400 level multiple times last week. All of them were failed attempts as none of the 1 hour candles could close above 17412.

What do you think will happen to Nifty this week? Will the market see profit booking or consolidate? Let us know what you think in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Nifty opened the week at 16,770 on Monday and was incredibly bullish for the week.

With many green days, the index ended at 17,340 with power. Except for Wednesday, all days Nifty closed 100-150 points in the green.

The broader markets also recovered with the realty index going up more than 10% last week. 

With positivity from Jerome Powell’s statements on the U.S. economy, all global markets were rallying.

Reliance gained power and touched fresh 52-week highs by gaining nearly 6% last week. HDFC Bank also gained in the week with the bullishness we expected last week.

Bharti Airtel gained more than 10% in the week, with fundraising plans and noting increasing tariffs by Chairman Sunil Mittal.

Auto stocks were generally weak even though the index ended in green. Auto sales data were not great for Maruti and M&M. Tata Motors showed a good increase in sales for August.

Zomato shot up to all-time highs with more than a 15% gain this week to near Rs 150. Major investor of the company, Info Edge also closed with gains of nearly 5%.

Laxmi Organics also gained 10% in the week, now extending gains more than 160% after their IPO in March. 

Bank Nifty shot up in the week gaining more than 3%. The index gained to cross even 37,000 for the first time since February. However, the index closed below this mark for the week.

GDP data came out highly positive for the last quarter in India. The U.S. showed an unemployment rate at a 17-month low even while reporting lower than expected jobs growth.

Foreign Institutional Investors returned as buyers and net bought Rs 6,867 crores worth of shares in the week. Domestic Institutional Investors have sold for over Rs 1,421 crores this week and started booking profits.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Volatility is slowly returning in the market with India VIX moving 10% up this week. Profit booking mentality is taking over the market.

Heavyweights Reliance and HDFC Bank might take a small rest after their rallies in August. Reliance still has power with its fresh breakout in the last week.

The highest call OI stands at 17,00 followed by 16,500. Highest Put OI is at 17,000 followed by 17,200. 

16,500 will be the first important support zone for the zone for Nifty with stronger support at 16,300. 

Bank Nifty has formed high call option interest at the 37,000 mark, indicating some slowdown in the index. We will have to keep watching this level in the index and if it will be broken.

There are only 4 trading days this week, with Friday being a holiday on account of Ganesh Chathurthi.

IIP Data, which shows the industrial output for the month of July is coming out on Friday. The data is expected to come positive and give the bull rally some validation.

Market experts are expecting Nifty to touch 17,500 soon, but profit booking continues as a fear. The 17,200 and 17,000 levels will act as good supports going ahead.

Brent Crude Oil prices showed a breakout in the charts, and we can expect higher petrol prices is the only certainty we have for the coming week.

What do you think will happen to Nifty this week? Will the market see profit booking or continue the rally? Let us know what you think in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Nifty opened the week at 16,592 on Monday and fell down sharply. There was good support taken at 16,400, and this level was not seen at all later.

In the rest of the week, Nifty shot up crossing major levels nearby. Nifty ended the week at 16,705 after hitting an all-time high of 16,722.

The broader markets outperformed in the week with smallcap and midcap indices bouncing back up.

Yesterday, US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted about slowing down bond purchases by the end of 2021, to slow down liquidity in the economy. He also added that there are no plans to change interest rates.

Auto stocks were weak with Maruti falling 3.3% in the bullish week and the auto index was in the red. Tata Motors was however flat and might be a sign of strength for the coming week.

Reliance moved up slowly in the week along with a green closing in HDFC Bank. 

Insurance stocks NIACL and GICRE moved up in the week after FM Nirmala Sitharaman indicated possible privatisation of the companies.

Bank Nifty continued to remain in its consolidation zone around 35,000 and 36,000 if we leave out the Monday fall. Bank Nifty closed the week at 35,627, up nearly 200 points from Monday’s opening.

Metals gained back slowly after last week’s fall with the FMCG index closing with only small gains.

Foreign Institutional Investors net sold Rs 6,833.33 crores worth of shares in the week, with currently the month’s net outflow now over Rs 7,600 crores. Domestic Institutional Investors have bought for over Rs 8,000 crores this month. 

Week Ahead in Nifty

Nifty gave a small breakout by Friday in the week, and bullishness is expected to continue. 16,700 will be good support after opening tomorrow.

Reliance and HDFC Bank movements are expected to continue. These stocks are the heavyweights of Nifty.

The highest call OI stands at 16,700 and 17,000. Highest Put OI is at 16,600 followed by 16,700. The strong call and put Open Interest at 16,700 indicate consolidation for the week. 

16,500 will be the first important support zone for the zone for Nifty with stronger support at 16,300. 

Bank Nifty struggle continues and the support at 35,000 will have to be watched. The breakout we expect might also be around the corner as the open interest data shows slight bullishness.

GDP Data for the first quarter of FY22 will be released on Tuesday. Manufacturing PMI, auto sales data and more are also expected in the first week of September.

Jerome Powell’s remarks had pushed up SGX Nifty to above 16,800 yesterday. But the Afghanistan blasts and retaliation by the U.S. forces creating fear in the market.

Retail participants are planning to stay away from trading on September 1st, with #notradingday trending on Twitter. This is to show protest against SEBI’s new margin rules, which lower leverages for intraday trading. We may also see reduced volumes in the market.

What do you think will happen to Nifty this week? Will you be observing the #notradingday on September 1st? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Nifty opened the week at 16,518 and moved up in the first 2 days of the week. On Wednesday, the market opened with a huge gap-up following a news in HDFC Bank’s counter. 

Thursday was a holiday on account of Muharram, and markets moved down with a huge gap-down on Friday. Nifty closed at 16,450, with a red candle for the week.

HDFC Bank opened with a huge gap-up on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of India allowed the bank to start accepting credit card applications again.

Bank Nifty moved down after consolidation and closed at 35,033, with a red candle in the week.

FMCG stocks saw heavy buying in the week as smart money rolled into ‘safer’ sectors including FMCG and IT.

Midcaps and smallcaps continued their correction in the week, with most stocks closing in the red.

Metals fell heavily, especially on Friday with reports that international iron prices had fallen sharply. The index fell more than 7% in the week.

CarTrade listed in the market in the red after its IPO. Is this the beginning of unsuccessful IPOs.

Foreign Institutional Investors net sold Rs 4,314.4 crore worth of shares in the week, with currently the month’s net outflow now at Rs 819 crores.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Nifty is expected to hold steady in the week, just like the last. Even with the bearish sentiment, Nifty showed net consolidation in the week.

The uncertainties surrounding Reliance was over last week, and the stock had moved up. More up movement is expected. A similar case is seen with HDFC Bank now, and the stock may calmly move up next week.

Midcaps and smallcaps are expected to remain volatile this week, with the money continuing to move to largecaps.

The highest call OI stands at 16,600. Highest Put OI is at 16,000 and 16,400 levels. It is the monthly expiry this week, and we may see some volatility in the week with the tight open interest zones also.

16,290 will be the first support zone after which 16,000 is the next support for Nifty in the near term. 

Bank Nifty continues to struggle near the 35,200-35,300 levels. A breakout is expected in the index soon, with the index continuing to underperform. 

The air of confusion around HDFC Bank is now over, and the stock may slowly move up now. SGX Nifty is up more than 100 points and Monday may see a gap-up in the market.

What do you think will happen this week? Will Nifty see some correction? Or do you think there will be a bounce back in the coming week? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Nifty continued its breakout for the second week, rallying from nearly 15,500 to now closing at 16,500.

Heavyweights pushed the index up with IT stocks the main strength for the market. From Monday to Thursday, a proper consolidation was seen 

FIIs continued to be net buyers this week and Nifty closed at 16,529, up more than 275 points or 1.7% from Monday’s open.

Bank Nifty could not continue the rally and cross last week’s high. The index 340 points or 0.95% up in the week but below the 36,200 mark.

IT stocks turned bullish with Nifty 50 stocks including Infosys, TechM and TCS hitting fresh high market capitalisations. 

Midcaps and smallcaps turned bearish once again with both indices down more than 1%. The indices had fallen sharply on fears that BSE is likely to bring additional measures to prevent unusual movement in mid and smallcaps with weekly, monthly and quarterly upper and lower circuits.

Foreign Institutional investors pumped in Rs 879.2 crore while Domestic Institutions bought for Rs 636.38 crores in the equity market.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Nifty was expected to be in consolidation last week, and was in exactly such a mood till Thursday.

On Friday, the index rallied up and crossed 16,500. The close was bullish and we may see a gap-up opening tomorrow.

Most Nifty 50 stocks have completed their results announcements for the April-Jun quarter and many underperformed. If you look at the charts of many Nifty50 stocks, they are still far from their 52-week highs.

4 stocks will be listing in the market tomorrow with us most interested in Devyani International’s listing.

Expecting consolidation in the general market along with a recovery rally in smaller stocks.

The highest call OI stands at 16,800. Highest Put OI is at 16,400 levels. This indicates bullishness with or consolidation with lot more put contracts being made in the market.

As we talked last week, 16,000 will act as a strong a strong support for Nifty in the near term. 

Bank Nifty would need to close above 36,200 to confirm bullishness and shoot up. The index is still quite far from its 52-week highs and a rally could take Nifty to higher levels.

FIIs did return as strong buyers in the market, and Nifty did rally this week. Can keep an eye on Nifty50 stocks which have been underperforming, including auto stocks.

Reliance also had a bullish close on Friday. If there is one thing that the market does not like, it is uncertainity. Now that the confusion regarding Reliance-Future Group deal is over, the stock may give a breakout soon.

What do you think will happen this week? Will Nifty continue its rally? Can midcaps recover, or will Mintu continue to flow into largecaps? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Indian markets broke their 2-month consolidation in a 500 point zone last week and rallied to fresh all-time highs. The market opened with Nifty at 15,874 on Monday, more than 100 points up from the previous Friday’s close.

As we said in last week’s article, a close above 16,000 will confirm Nifty’s bullishness and push it higher to 16,200 and above as happened. 

The first week of August saw FIIs returning as net buyers in the market, and Nifty closing the week at 16,238, more than 3% and 450 points up.

Bank Nifty finally outperformed by touching the 36,000-mark for the first time since March. The index of banks was boosted by results from SBI. ICICI Bank and SBI touched fresh 52-week highs, and HDFC Bank and Kotak Bank rallied 5-7% each after the July sell-offs.

Bank Nifty also closed more than 1200 points or 3.5% up from previous week’s close.

The Vodafone Idea craziness continued with the stock falling to Rs 4.6 after Kumar Mangalam Birla’s resignation from the Chairman post of the company and UK’s Vodafone saying they are not interested in pumping any more capital to Vi. The stock however closed 19% up on Friday after the Government sought to remove the retrospective tax.

With the confusion in Vodafone Idea’s camp, Bharti Airtel moved up more than 6% in the week. The stock is near its 52-week high now. Reliance was up nearly 5% for the week before falling on Friday afternoon after the Supreme Court ruled in favour of Amazon in the Future Retail deal.

It was a week of the heavyweights with HDFC also moving more than 6%, breaking out after announcing results on Monday. 

IT, Auto, Realty and FMCG stocks also gained in the week were financial stocks outperformed. Meanwhile, Midcap and Smallcap stocks stayed flat as money flowed into the heavyweight stocks.

Foreign institutional investors turned net buyers in the first week of August for more than Rs  2,616 crores. They had sold heavily in July in the cash market for Rs 23,193 crores.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Market experts see positivity in the return of FIIs as net buyers in the cash market. This trend may continue is what many investors feel. The breakout from the 2-month consolidation zone has given strength to Nifty to go up even further.

More Nifty 50 are set to report Q1 earnings including Tata Steel, ONGC, Coal India, Shree Cement, Power Grid, BPCL, Eicher Motors, Hero MotoCorp, and Grasim Industries. A total of 1,900 companies are set to announce their results this week.

For the second week in a row, 4 fresh IPOs are coming including CarTrade, Nuvoco Corporation tomorrow. Aptus Value Housing Finance India and Chemplast Sanmar will open their IPOs on Tuesday.

The highest call OI stands at 16,300. Highest Put OI is at 16,000 levels. 

Nifty closing above 16,200 has confirmed that going ahead 16,000 will be a strong support for the index. 

Bank Nifty closed the week under the 36,000 level, and this level needs to be watched in the coming week as well.

U.S markets closed on Friday near their record highs. We will be adding how the Futures of these global markets and Asian markets are performing in our pre-market report, tomorrow morning

If FIIs return as strong buyers in the market, then NIFTY is likely to rally more this week. But current personal expectations are that Nifty will be consolidating this week as individual stock specific rallies continue. 

Midcaps and smallcaps will have to be watched, to see if they continue consolidation or move up more.

Reliance’s movements will have to be watched closely after Friday’s fall.

What do you think will happen this week? Will Nifty continue its rally? Or are you expecting consolidation? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Another week with bulls and bears unable to move the market to either side. After opening at 15,856 on Monday, Nifty made 4 red candles in the 5 trading days and even tested 15,500. 

Support from DIIs continued to be strong and Nifty ended the week at 15,763, down nearly 0.6% from Monday’s opening. 

Metals are back into the bullish mode with policy changes from the Chinese government, increasing tariffs on exports. IT stocks also saw buying with Infy, TechM, Coforge and many more hitting fresh 52-week highs. TechM jumped 7% on Friday after the results.

IDFC First Bank announced Rs 630 crores loss due to higher provisions. Bandhan Bank reported lower profits in Q1.

Auto stocks, Pharma, FMCG and Banks saw selling pressure in the week. Realty remained somewhat stable.

Reliance was bearish throughout the week, moving down on all 5-days after its results on Monday. Looking for a trendline breakout in the week, as the stock has reached its more than 2-month lows.

Foreign institutional investors sold heavily in July in the cash market for Rs 23,193 crores. This was the highest since March 2020, the month of the Covid crash. Out of this, more than Rs 10,000 crores was from last week alone.

But despite this, Nifty 50 has not fallen at all in July as Domestic Institutional Investors bought for Rs 18,393 crores this month, the highest since March 2020.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Markets this week are set to open with reaction to results from Nifty 50 companies UPL and Britannia. Bandhan Bank had also announced lower profits as provisions for bad loans increased.

There will also be announcements of auto sales data in the first days of the week. PMI numbers will be watched by investors this week, as last month’s data was below estimates due to the second wave and lockdowns.

Even on the monthly expiry, Nifty showed net consolidation even with the volatility. Nifty continues to consolidate between 15,500 and 16,000.

More Nifty 50 are set to report Q1 earnings including HDFC, Bharti Airtel, SBI, Titan, M&M, Cipla, Adani Ports, Hindalco Industries and Divis Labs. National Aluminium’s and Hindalco’s results will be watched by traders to predict Nifty Metal movements.

Berger Paints, Indigo Paints, JK Tyre, Tata Consumer, Tata Power, ZEEL, Apollo Tyres, Indiabulls Housing, BEML and Adani Enterprises are some other stocks announcing results.

4 fresh IPOs are coming this week – Devyani International, Windlas Biotech, Exxaro Tiles and Krsnaa Diagnostics. Devyani is likely to see the highest investor interest as it is the operator of Pizza Hut and KFC in India. Glenmark LifeSciences will list this week after a successful IPO.

The highest call OI stands at 15,900. Highest Put OI is also at a very aggressive 15,700 level. But there are currently many more call option contracts currently active in the market.

Nifty has closed below the 15,800 and Bank Nifty also was weak and closed below the 35,000 level. Even with intraday fall on Wednesday, Nifty has failed to close below 15,630. More weakness will be seen if this happens. The next major support will be at 15,450, with many more smaller levels in between.

On the other side, a close above 16,000 will confirm Nifty’s bullishness and push it higher to 16,200 and above.

Bank Nifty also has good support at 34,000, if closing below may result in bearishness.

Global markets including S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed slightly in the red on Friday night. We will be adding how the Futures of these global markets and Asian markets are performing in our pre-market report, tomorrow morning

Last week, we talked about how Nifty was in a mood to consolidate and more or less was what we saw. Nifty broke the 15,630 support once again but domestic institutions supported and pushed the index higher. Clearly, DIIs are supporting the market even when FIIs sell. Whose money will dry out first is the question.

I feel that the results from SBI and HDFC along with Auto Sales data and first week’s trend will be a deciding factor for Nifty this month.

What do you think will happen this week? Will FIIs return as net buyers in August after 4 consecutive months of selling? Or will DIIs finally run out of money to invest in the market? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

It was a four-day week in the Indian markets with high volatility and net consolidation. On Monday, Indian markets opened with a huge gap-down with global negativity.

After this, many analysts turned bearish as European and U.S. markets crashed. On Tuesday night, international markets reversed but we were closed on Wednesday for Bakrid. Nifty opened with gap-up on Thursday and shot up.

Nifty closed the week down by 0.42% at 15,856. Bank Nifty closed 2.65% down at 35,003.

HDFC Bank opened with a huge gap-down on Monday and continued to fall in the other days of the week after reporting profits last Saturday. Closed 5% down from last Friday to this Friday.

Reliance results came on Friday. 7% YoY fall in net profits for Q2, but better than estimates at over Rs 12,000 crores. Reliance Retail reported good growth in numbers.

Asian Paints moved up in the week after reporting strong results.

Zomato was listed in the market with strong gains on Friday, and touched a market capitalisation of Rs 1 lakh crore. Currently, it is the 51st largest listed company in India.

ICICI Bank reported profits over the weekend, a 78% increase YoY in net profit to Rs 4,616 crores after lowering provisions. Gross non-performing assets increased to 5.15% lower than last year’s.

ITC reported 30% rise in Q1 net profit at Rs 3,343 crore with a similar rise in net revenue.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Tomorrow, the market will open with a huge reaction to ICICI Bank and Reliance Industries’ results. 

It is the week of the monthly index and stock futures and options expiry. Nifty continues to consolidate between 15,500 and 16,000.

Many more Nifty 50 and other important stocks are set to report Q1 earnings. 380 companies will release their quarterly results this week. You can keep an eye out for Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Larsen & Toubro, SBI Life, Tata Motors, IndusInd Bank, Maruti, TechM, IOC, UPL, SunPharma, Dr Reddy’s and more.

Many others including Torrent Pharma, Vedanta, SPARC, JSL, IDFC First, Marico, NTPC, TVS Motor, PVR, LIC Housing and Sobha.

U.S Fed meeting outcome on July 28 can be watched, and the monthly expiry is on 29th July.

Two companies are going public this week, Glenmark Life Sciences and Rolex Rings. Tatva Chintan Pharma Chem will list on July 29 after its amazing IPO. 

The highest call OI stands at 16,000, with more than 1.2 lakh contracts. But unlike last week, the highest Put OI is at a safe level of 15,000 with 1.15 lakh contracts. This indicates a slight bearishness in the market.

But Nifty has closed above 15,800 and Bank Nifty above 35,000 level. Support at 15,750 will be important for Nifty, then at 15,500. Bank Nifty will find resistance at 36,000 with support at 34,200. Global markets including S&P 500 in the U.S, closed at all-time highs on Friday.

Last week we expected Nifty to take support at 15,630. But as we wrote, the aggressive put option sellers at 15,800 caused a sudden fall on Monday along with HDFC Bank’s post-result fall. Similarly, this week we are seeing a strong put buildup which is very far away from the current Nifty level. 

Market saw a Doji candle for Friday, but looks in a mood to consolidate in the weekly charts. Reactions to result announcements will be in focus for the rest of the month. What do you think will happen this week? Will Nifty continue to consolidate or break out above 16,000 levels?

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Nifty moved up in the week after a fall on Monday. On Monday, there was a fall to shake off weak bulls in the market and support was taken at 15,650. The week was closed by Nifty at 15,923 at a fresh all-time high close. Bank Nifty also managed to cross 35,800 but could not close above it.

Market linked stocks including CDSL, CAMS and MCX performed well in the week. Also, midcap IT stock Happiest Minds closed the week with big gains.

Zomato’s historic IPO closed with 38.26 times oversubscription. GR Infra and Clean Sciences will get listed in the market tomorrow.

Inflation data from India came out slightly better than last month and than expected. Even though the U.S. inflation data came out much higher, the markets did not get affected that much.

Many IT stocks reported their results with Infosys disappointing while Wipro went well. Banks, FMCG, healthcare, IT and Metal stocks supported the market with Realty stocks being the outperformers.

HDFC Bank reported higher profit and revenue numbers, but the net NPA rates have shot up causing some concern.

Reliance announced they will be acquiring 40.4% in Just Dial through their subsidiary Reliance Retail. This along with HDFC Bank results will be important for analysing the market tomorrow morning.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Concerns of a third wave in India with still over 41,000 cases per day coming out despite the lockdowns. Concerns on the global event that is Tokyo Olympics exist in the general market along with high inflation numbers from around the world.

Nifty 50 companies including HCL Technologies, HDFC Life Insurance Company, Asian Paints, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Bajaj Auto, Hindustan Unilever, UltraTech Cement, JSW Steel, Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank and ITC will be reporting their results this week along with others.

Highest call OI stands at 16,000 along with Highest Put OI buildup at a very aggressive 15,900. Tomorrow’s morning market may see a downward move because of these aggressive option sellers. Yes, 16,000 is the major milestone for Nifty. 

15,750-15,800 will be immediate support for Nifty this week. Good support exists at 15,630, which is not expected to be broken unless there is some real bearishness in global markets.

Bank Nifty could not cross the 36,000 level but still ended the week in green. The very important level of 35,800 was crossed on Thursday, but on Friday it fell back down below this level.

FiIs continued to be net sellers for the whole week, while DIIs supported the market even at the tops.

If Nifty can sustain above the fresh all-time high, a further rally is being shown by the technicals. But otherwise, selling pressure may come in with this being just a false breakout.

So last week, our conclusion was that – “Experts are expecting consolidation. So do you expect the opposite?” and surely Nifty made fresh all-time highs. So you tell me in the comments of the marketfeed app- Do you think this rally will continue on to 16,000 and above this week?

Categories
Daily Market Feed

Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty Analysis for Next Week

Last Week in Nifty

Nifty continued consolidation, once again failing to break the all-time high at 15,900 resistance. The week opened at 15,800 and closed at 15,690, down 0.73% for the week.

Services PMI was announced last week at 42, an 11-month low. It was expected to fall because of the lockdowns in the past month.

GST Collection also came down below Rs 1 lakh crore, a 9-month low.

Tata Motors fell 10% on Tuesday afternoon, with Jaguar Land Rover saying that they will have a negative free cash flow for the upcoming quarter. The stock is down 11% for the week. Nifty Auto fell 2.5% in the week.

Kerala’s Kitex hit a 20% Upper Circuit on Friday after announcing they will be leaving the state.

Heavyweights remained weak, with midcaps giving a rally for the week. Nifty Realty and Nifty Metal performed well in the week.

Nifty Metal rallied with member stocks going up. China failing to control price inflation of metal and aluminium prices gaining back has given confidence to traders. Tata Steel has reached back to its all-time highs after June month fall. 

Crude oil prices remained volatile with the Saudi-UAE fight going in the OPEC+ group. There are reports from the U.S. showing there is high demand for oil with the summer tourist season in the country. Note – India likes lower crude oil prices as it is an importing country.

TCS results came out in the week with profits of Rs 9,008 crores but still did not meet the street expectations. The stock remained weak.

Reliance broke 2,100 downwards again and is struggling to move back up. Along with this, FIIs sold more than Rs 4,000 crores worth of equity this week. A weaker rupee has been causing problems for the market. These numbers will need to change for Nifty to break out this week.

Week Ahead in Nifty

Realty shares closed bullish and expected to continue the rally if Nifty consolidates. If Nifty is bullish, then these stocks might take a back-seat.

Clean Science and GR Infra IPOs saw good responses from investors and both will list on July 19th. The much-awaited Zomato IPO will open on July 14th.

More Q2 results are expected this week. On Wednesday, can expect Infosys and Wipro on Thursday. 75 companies are expected to announce Q2 results including Mindtree, LTI, Dodla Dairy, 5 Paisa, Angel Broking, Cyient, Tata Elxsi, Den and Tata Steel Long Products. 

CPI Inflation data for June will be out on Monday and Wholesale Inflation data on Wednesday. A high inflation rate may risk action from the Reserve Bank.

With the bullish close of U.S. and European markets on Friday, there are high chances of Asian markets to trade in the green. Indian markets are expected to open with a gap-up tomorrow.

15,500 continues to be good support for Nifty this week. But if we are being a bit more aggressive, the correct range for Nifty is between 15,630 and 15,915. Breaking these levels and sustaining above them may give further moves to either side.

35,800 has been respected by Bank Nifty multiple times in the past months. The index is struggling to break it. Will need some strength in Kotak Bank, which is underperforming even other private banks. 34,000 will be a good support for the index is turning really weak.

Experts are expecting consolidation. So do you expect the opposite? What do you think? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app!