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Daily Market Feed Post Market Analysis

Will Nifty Hit 20,000 Soon?- Post-Market Analysis

NIFTY started the day at 19,802 with a gap-up of 53 points. Initially, the index started moving higher to 19,840 levels (which was a pivot level resistance). Then, profit booking kicked in, and Nifty fell till the support zones of 19,730 levels. Then, it gave a huge recovery to hit a fresh all-time at 19,851. Nifty closed at 19,833, up by 83 points or 0.42%.

Nifty chart July 19

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 45,622 with a gap-up of 211 points. Unlike Nifty, Bank Nifty consolidated today within a 200 point-range between 45,700 and 45,500. BNF closed at 45,669, up by 258 points or 0.57%.

Bank Nifty chart July 19

All indices closed flat-to-green today. Nifty PSU Bank (+1.95%) and Nifty Media (+1.1%) moved up the most.

Major Asian markets closed mixed. European markets are currently trading in the green.

Today’s Moves

NTPC (+2.7%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. Goldman Sachs has initiated coverage on the stock with a ‘Buy’ rating.

Tata Teleservices (+10.4%) surged on the back of strong volumes.

TV18 Broadcast (+9.16%) jumped after the company reported a 52% YoY increase in its consolidated net profit at Rs 91.20 crore for Q1.

Hindalco (-1.19%) was NIFTY50’s top loser. 

Network18 (-7.54%) fell after the company said its net loss widened to ₹38.73 crore in Q1 FY24.

Markets Ahead

Nifty is looking more bullish when compared to Bank Nifty. A lot of positive Q1 results have been boosting the index.

Nifty: Now, the important support level for Nifty will be 19,730, and the major resistance will be 19,880 (which is a pivot point resistance). If there’s a flat opening and Nifty moves higher, the index can move higher till the resistance zone. If the index falls below 19,830 levels, it can come down to the support levels mentioned above.

Bank Nifty: The index has moved in a range. So if there is a range breakout or breakdown from 45,700 levels and 45,500 levels, respectively, BNF can fall to 45,335 levels. On the upside, it could move to 45,890 levels.

Being weekly expiry tomorrow, both indices can be volatile. So watch out for all important levels and plan your trades accordingly.

In other news, UK’s inflation stood at 7.9% for June 2023, below the 8.2% that economists predicted. Euro Area’s June consumer prices rose 5.5% YoY in June vs an estimate of 5.5% growth.

FIIs have net bought for ₹1,165.47 crore today, while DIIs have net sold for ₹2,134.54 crore.

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What levels are you watching out for expiry tomorrow? Let us know in the comment section of the marketfeed app.

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Daily Market Feed Pre Market Report

Crude Oil Spikes Again; Markets Down – Share Market Today

News Shots 

Ruchi Soya raised Rs 1289.80 crore through anchor investors. 46 anchor investors were allotted 1.98 crore shares at issue price of Rs 650.

Sun Pharmaceuticals settled with two plaintiff groups for amount of $485 million in Ranbaxy Generic Drug Application Antitrust Litigation ongoing in the U.S. District Court for the District of Massachusetts.

The Reserve Bank of India has granted approval to SBI Funds Management to acquire upto 9.99% stake in ICICI bank.

Adani Total Gas was granted authorization for development of City Gas Distribution Network by Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board in 10 geographical areas.

Zomato’s Canada unit, Zomato Canada has been dissolved. It didn’t have any active business operations.

IIFL Finance will buy back 5.875% US $400 million secured notes.

What to expect? 

 NIFTY opened with a gap-up at 17,415 and moved down. There were some up-moves with volume trapping the buyers. The fall continued and NIFTY closed the day at 17,246, 70 points down or 0.4%.

BANK NIFTY opened higher at 36,630 and a proper downtrend followed. But the index managed to stay above 36,000. BANK NIFTY closed the day at 36,147, 201 points down or 0.55%.

Metals moved higher.

The US markets closed deep in the red. The European markets also closed in the red.

The Asian markets also are down. The U.S. Futures and the European futures are trading flat to green.

SGX NIFTY is trading at 17,210. All the factors together indicate a gap-down opening.

NIFTY has supports at 17,200, 17,175, 17,100 and 17,000. We can expect resistances at 17,280, 17,350, 17,480 and 17,620.

BANK NIFTY has supports at 36,000 and 35,500 and 35,300. Resistances are at 36,450, 36,600, 36,900 and 37,400. 

NIFTY has the highest call OI build-up at 18,000 followed by 17,500. The highest put OI build-up is at 16,000.

BANK NIFTY has the highest call OI build-up at 37,000 and the largest put OI build-up is at 36,000.

INDIA VIX is at 24.7.

Foreign Institutional Investors net bought shares worth Rs 500 crores. Domestic Institutional Investors net sold shares worth Rs 300 crores. 

Crude oil prices have again spiked above $120. This is a major concern for India. We cannot expect the crude oil prices to calm down without an agreement being reached in the peace talks. 

Russia said that it is getting harder to go on with the peace talk with Ukraine as the latter changes the stance often. Putin’s adviser, Chubais has quit and left Russia over the war. There are reports that many insiders oppose Putin on the same.

A major move taken by Russia yesterday was the decision to accept the payment for gas in Rubles, for the ‘unfriendly nations’. He added that Russia will continue to supply natural gas unconditionally.

HDFC twins, Kotak Bank and Infosys led the fall yesterday. Reliance closed in the green for another day. Kotak Bank had a blockdeal today and that could be the reason why it fell heavily.

The five minutes candle at 2:30 was a perfect example of trapping the traders where there was a sudden up-move with good volume but there was no follow-up candle. Be prepared for such moves and make sure that you do not fall prey to the moves.

You can see that all the global markets are down. At the same time, FTSE was able to restrict the losses. UK reported inflation at 6.2%, a 30 year high. This is certainly bad for the economy but the stock market did not show any reflection. This is because UK stock market shows a different correlation with inflation data as there is focus on the defensive stocks.

PCR is 0.5. At the same time, the second-highest call build-up is not at 17,400 but 17,600. 16,800 put sellers look safe. Let us see how the OI changes after the market opens.

I will be watching 17,000 on the downside and 17,350 on the upside in NIFTY.

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