1. Editorial

Ex-RBI Governor’s Warning on RBI Report Explained

By now, most of our readers would have thoroughly understood the recommendations of the RBI’s Internal Working Group Report. marketfeed had prepared a detailed article on it. You can read it here. One major suggestion put forth by the group was that large NBFCs could be converted into banks if they follow specific criteria. However, our former RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan has stated that allowing corporate entry into banking is a ‘very bad idea’. Global financial analysts also have similar concerns about India’s banking sector. Let us find out why.

Inputs from a LinkedIn Post 

On 23rd November, the former RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan and Deputy Governor Viral Acharya posted a joint article on LinkedIn. They have questioned the Internal Working Group’s recommendation to allow industrial or corporate houses to promote banks in India. An important question mentioned in the article is “Why now? Have we learnt something which allows us to override all the prior cautions on allowing industrial houses into banking?”.

Let us look at why they are worried about this particular suggestion:

Risky Lending Activities 

According to the former heads of our central bank, a corporate entity can get funds very easily from its in-house bank (the bank which they own). These funds could be diverted or used for other activities. It would become very difficult for regulators to find faults in such lending activities. In case the corporate entity fails to repay its loans, things would become highly problematic. Also, the information shared on failed loans by the Indian banking system is not accurate. The banks also seem to cover up or conceal the information from regulators.

An example of risky lending can be attributed to the case of Yes Bank. The information regarding failed loans remained to be concealed for a long time. The private bank had to be rescued by the RBI, with the help of funding from large domestic banks. Just recently, Lakshmi Vilas Bank was similarly bailed out.

They have also stated that the RBI would sometimes be under political or economic pressures. This would force them to ‘loosen their grip’ in the financial sector. Rules and regulations would become very lenient. Ultimately, a few financial companies would have the chance to expand their businesses. These entities would also raise funds through loans to support their growth. Ultimately, such transactions would impose more risk on India’s financial system.

The Concentration of Power

The article also stated that allowing large private players to set up banks would lead to the concentration of economic and political power in certain entities. “Even if the banking licenses are allotted fairly, it will give undue advantage to large business houses that already have the initial capital that has to be put up.”

According to Rajan and Acharya, most of the corporate firms have political connections. These connections will help the large entities to have an incentive to obtain a banking license. This will lead to an increase in the importance of more ‘money power’ in Indian politics. 

Why Bring up Such a Recommendation Now?

The economists have come with two main reasons as to why private corporations need to get full-fledged banking licenses at this point in time.

  • The Indian Government is looking for more private players to bid for its public sector banks. As we know, most of the public sector units in our country are being privatized, and public sector lenders would be next in line. However, the former RBI officials have stated that this move would be “foolish”. They have argued that certain public sector banks have been under poor management over the years. Things would become even more difficult if these banks come under a highly complicated structure of ownership by large corporate houses.
  • Rajan and Acharya have also stated that the recommendations would prove to be beneficial for a chosen few. There could be certain industrial or corporate houses that hold payments bank licenses. And, they would be looking forward to transforming it into a universal bank.

Concerns from S&P Global Ratings

S&P Global Ratings is an American credit rating agency and a division of S&P Global. It publishes financial research and analysis on stocks, bonds, and commodities. They have also said that allowing corporate ownership of Indian banks would be highly risky.

“The RBI will face challenges in supervising non-financial sector entities, and supervisory resources could be further strained at a time the health of India’s financial sector is weak,” – S&P Global Ratings in a statement made on November 23.

The credit rating agencies’ concerns are very similar to that of Raghuram Rajan’s and Viral Acharya’s. They have further stated that corporate ownership of banks raises the risk of intergroup lending and diversion of funds. As per their analysis, the performance of new banks set up in India over the past three decades has been mixed. Of the 14 new universal bank licenses issued by the RBI since 1993, Global Trust Bank and Yes Bank Ltd. had to be bailed out by government-owned banks. 

S&P Global Ratings has also stated that the conversion of NBFCs into banks will be very complex and difficult. It will also incur additional costs for these financial companies.

Conclusion

As we can see, many prominent figures and agencies have come forward to express their views on corporate entry into banking. These are very valid and relevant facts that have now questioned the objective or aim of the Internal Working Group’s Report. However, do bear in mind that the report only contains suggestions. The RBI, through further discussions and deliberations, has the final say in whether the inputs are to be implemented or not. 

Let us look forward to seeing if the RBI reviews the concerns from its former head, and also from financial agencies or analysts. Do keep a close watch on the NBFC and banking stocks in the days to come.

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