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Daily Market Feed Post Market Analysis

Weak Weekly Closing for the Month – Post-Market Analysis

Post-Market Analysis for July 28, 2023:

NIFTY started the day flat at 19,659. Throughout the day, the index mostly consolidated with a negative bias. After moving down to the support level of 19,600, Nifty gave a small breakdown, went to the earlier swing of 19,560 levels, and reversed back to close at 19,646, down by 13 points or 0.07%.

Nifty chart post-market report - July 28

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 45,560 with a gap-down of 118 points. Similar to Nifty, Bank Nifty also mostly consolidated within a 250-point range between yesterday’s closing and 45,300 major support levels. BNF closed at 45,468, down by 211 points or 0.46%. 

Bank Nifty chart post-market report - July 18

Nifty Realty (+1.8%) and Nifty Media (+1.38%) closed well in green, while Nifty IT (-0.8%) fell the most. 

Major Asian markets closed mixed. Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC40 are currently trading in the red, while UK’s FTSE 100 is trading in the green.

Today’s Moves

NTPC (+3.9%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. Yesterday, the company reported the declaration of the second unit of 660 MW capacity at Barh Super Thermal Power Station.

Intellect Design Arena (+19.7%) jumped after posting strong Q1 results.


Godfrey Phillips (+8.6%) continued its up-move after the company posted a 68.6% YoY risein consolidated net profit to ₹220.97 crore for Q1.

Bajaj Finserv (-1.8%) was NIFTY50’s top loser. The company’s net profit rose 48% YoY to ₹1,943 crore in Q1 FY24.

Supreme Industries (-7.8%) fell sharply after posting weak Q1 results. 

Markets Ahead

Markets took a pause after a huge fall yesterday (monthly expiry). Nifty has given a negative closing on a weekly time frame. This is the first negative closing for Nifty after a strong rally (from 18,900 to 19,990 levels).

Nifty: The major support zone in Nifty is clearly 19,600 levels, and the important resistance now will be 19,700. A breakdown from this support can give us a target of 19,560 and 19,520, while a breakout on the upside can give us a target of 19,750 and 19,820.

Bank Nifty: The next important support level for the index is 45,300, and major resistance would be 45,600. A breakout from 45,600 can give us a target of 46,200 and a breakdown can give us a target of 45,000 and 44,800 eventually.

In the next trading session, major bearishness could hit the markets if the market moves below today’s low and a trend reversal will also be confirmed.

US gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 2.4% annually in the April-June quarter, surpassing the expected 1.8%. Despite robust economic data from the US, crude oil futures traded lower today morning. Look out for important economic data like India’s manufacturing & services PMI, auto sales data, and others next week!

How did this week go? Are you in net profit or loss? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Don’t forget to tune into The Stock Market Show at 7 PM on our YouTube channel!

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Daily Market Feed Post Market Analysis

Blood Bath on Monthly Expiry! – Post-Market Analysis

Post-Market Analysis for July 27, 2023:

NIFTY started the day at 19,850 with a gap-up of 72 points (above the resistance zone of 19,840). Right from the beginning, Nifty started moving down with strength. It gave a continuous fall to 19,600! Yes, a 250+ point down-move! Post 3 PM, there was a strong recovery of 100 points. Nifty closed at 19,659, down by 118 points or 0.6%.

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 46,285 with a gap-up of 223 points (near the important resistance zone of 46,200). When Nifty was falling initially, Bank Nifty tried to stay at its opening levels but eventually gave a breakdown and fell 750 points from the day’s high to the low of 45,570 levels. BNF closed at 45,679, down by 383 points or 0.8%. 

All indices except Nifty Pharma (+3.05%), Nifty Realty (+2.1%), and Nifty PSU Bank (+0.5%) closed in the red. Nifty PSU Auto (-1.2%) fell the most.

Major Asian markets closed mixed. European markets are currently trading in the green.

Today’s Moves

Cipla (+9.6%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. The company posted a 45% YoY rise in consolidated net profit to ₹996 crore for Q1 FY24; beating street estimates.

Godfrey Phillips (+10.7%) zoomed up to 16% after the company posted a 68.6% YoY rise in consolidated net profit to ₹220.97 crore for Q1. 

Netweb Technologies shares listed at ₹947 on NSE, at a premium of 89.4% compared to the issue price of ₹500.

M&M (-6.3%) was NIFTY50’s top loser. The shares fell after the company disclosed plans to pick up a stake in RBL Bank.

RVNL (-6.15%) fell after the company’s two-day offer for sale (OFS) kicked off today.

Markets Ahead

In yesterday’s post-market analysis, we clearly stated that the indices are experiencing selling pressure, and we anticipate a directional move on monthly expiry.

A huge gap-up was formed in our markets because of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. But immediately after opening, the gap was sold into— indicating that markets are now under selling pressure.

Nifty: The major support for Nifty will be the round level of 19,600, and the major resistance will be 19,700. A breakdown from these levels can give us a target of 19,560 and 19,520. A breakout from 19,700 can give us a target of 19,750 and 19,840 eventually.

Bank Nifty: The index is in a very broad range between 45,600 and 46,200, and can be volatile in this region. Currently, the index is at the bottom support zone of 45,600. If there is a breakdown on the downside, the index can give us a target of 45,300 and 45,000. If it moves up back into the zone, 46,000 can be watched as the target and the first resistance.

Being monthly expiry today, you could have made decent returns if your analysis pointed towards the right direction! How did expiry day trading go? Are you in net profit or loss? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

Don’t forget to tune into The Stock Market Show at 7 PM on our YouTube channel!

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Editorial

Illegal Tobacco Sales Killing the Industry? ITC Trying to Shift Focus

The Indian tobacco industry is quite vast and complex. Despite all harmful effects, the trading of tobacco products continues to play a vital role in the growth of our economy. In this article, we dive into the tobacco industry in India and learn more about leading cigarette manufacturers.

An Overview of the Indian Tobacco Industry

Tobacco cultivation in India was introduced by the Portuguese way back in the 17th century (more than 415 years ago!). The crop was initially imported from the Americas (especially Brazil) and grown in different parts of India. The Portuguese established a prominent tradition of tobacco trade through their colony in Goa. Around 200 years later, the British introduced commercially produced cigarettes and formally set up tobacco production in India. 

Now, tobacco has become one of the most economically significant crops grown in our country. India is the second-largest producer and exporter of tobacco in the world (after China). Unmanufactured tobacco (or raw tobacco) is primarily exported to Belgium, Korea, Nigeria, Egypt, and Nepal. The total export value of the crop stood at a whopping ~Rs 6,700 crore in the financial year 2019-20 (FY20). Moreover, the tobacco industry is one of the largest contributors to our government’s overall tax revenue. It also provides employment opportunities to thousands of people.

As we know, tobacco consumed in any form poses serious health risks and complications. According to the WHO, tobacco kills more than 10 lakh Indians every year. Many find it difficult to stop using cigarettes or bidis due to the highly addictive alkaloids present in them. Despite the rise in deaths and health issues such as cancer, the Indian tobacco industry continues to flourish due to its economic importance. According to official estimates, more than 27.5 crore people consume tobacco in our country.

Taxation of Tobacco

The Indian government levies a sin tax (excise tax) on goods such as alcohol, tobacco products, soft drinks, candies, and fast foods. These ‘sin goods’ are considered harmful to society. Currently, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) levied on cigarettes is 28%. Apart from GST, the Centre has also imposed an additional cess of 5% on cigarettes and other tobacco products. The excise duty charged on the manufacturing of cigarettes, bidis, and chewing tobacco stands at 64%, 22%, and 81%, respectively. 

Unfortunately, the increase in taxes or excise duties over the years has not affected the consumption habits of Indians (as it was intended). In FY20, the tax revenue generated from the sale of cigarettes across India was approximately Rs ~35,600 crore! Thus, it is clear that the high consumption of tobacco products ultimately helps our government meet its revenue targets.

In the Union Budget announcements, the Finance Ministry often proposes a sharp increase in taxation on cigarettes. However, a hike in excise duties encourages the illegal trading of cigarettes in India. It also adversely impacts the earnings of those tobacco farmers who sell their crops to legal entities. The Tobacco Institute of India (TII) has reported that legal cigarettes account for only 10% of the overall consumption! The remaining 90% consists of contraband cigarettes that have been illegally manufactured or smuggled. Certain estimates reveal that our government faces a revenue loss of ~Rs 15,000 crore every year due to the consumption of illegal cigarettes.

Major Cigarette Manufacturers in India

ITC Limited

ITC Limited remains the market leader for cigarettes in India, with a share of ~77%. The company has pioneered the cultivation and development of tobacco in our country. It is the largest buyer, processor, and exporter of high-quality leaf tobaccos. The FMCG firm manufactures and markers its cigarettes primarily under the India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Wills Navy Cut, Players, and Scissors brands. These are produced in state-of-the-art factories in Bengaluru, Saharanpur (Uttar Pradesh), Kolkata, and Pune. Notably, ITC manufactures more than 84% of India’s cigarettes. 

Over the years, they have developed new offerings based on evolving trends and preferences of consumers. The company’s cigarette business continues to maintain high standards of international quality and competitiveness. As per recent estimates, more than 40% of ITC’s total revenue is derived from the cigarette segment.

Godfrey Phillips India

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd is a leading manufacturer of cigarettes, pan masala, and other tobacco products in India. The company sells its products under the Four Square, Cavandars, North Pole & Tipper, Red & White brands. They also manufacture and distribute Marlboro cigarettes under a licensing agreement with Philip Morris. It also offers pan masala under the Pan Vilas and RAAG brand, as well as mouth fresheners under the Pan Vilas Silver Dews brand. Godfrey Phillips has an independent ‘leaf division’ in the tobacco-growing area of Guntur (Andhra Pradesh), which gives them access to good-quality tobacco.

VST Industries

VST Industries Ltd is another manufacturer of cigarettes and unmanufactured tobacco in our country. Their cigarettes are sold under the brands— Charminar, Charms, and Moments. The company has a manufacturing facility in Hyderabad and Toopran (Telangana).

Golden Tobacco

Golden Tobacco Ltd is also engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and sales of tobacco and tobacco-related products. The company’s cigarettes are marketed under Panama, Chancellor, Golden’s Gold Flake, and Just Black brands. They export their products to the United States, Europe, Russia, Japan, and the Middle East.

Is the Tobacco Industry Losing Steam?

Interestingly, ITC has been diverting its focus away from the cigarette and tobacco products segment for a while now. Instead, they are investing heavily into the FMCG, hotels, and agri-business segments. Both Godfrey Phillips and Golden Tobacco have ventured into real estate development as well. What could be the reason for such a diversification? Well, the answer is quite simple.

In a recent report, ITC revealed that the trading of illicit cigarettes in India was affecting its sales revenues. The consumption of cheap bidis and smokeless tobacco are rising. Since 2010-11, the sales volumes of the legal cigarette industry have declined by around 20%, while that of the illegal cigarette segment has grown by more than 36%. Government authorities are finding it difficult to curb the smuggling of unauthorized cigarette brands.

More importantly, Indians are becoming more health-conscious (mostly in urban areas). Amidst the Covid-19 pandemic, many have quit smoking (or at least have tried to). Thus, we could say that cigarette manufacturers are facing a decline in sales. Due to all these factors, they have realised the need to diversify operations into other profitable segments. 

Conclusion

When the government introduces a hike in excise duty on cigarettes and tobacco products, its cost is passed down to the consumers. However, the demand for cigarettes is inelastic, and compulsive smokers will continue to consume them even if prices increase. In this case, the companies mentioned above will keep generating more profits, and the Centre will achieve its revenue targets.

The Indian Medical Association (IMA) continues to fight for a total ban on tobacco. Sadly, such a measure will have an adverse effect on the economy. The government will need to look for alternative sources of revenue and ensure employment opportunities for those involved in the tobacco industry. A blanket ban on tobacco products would simply lead to a rise in black markets and bootleggers.

Let us look forward to seeing how this industry performs in the years to come. Will it continue to prosper in India? Let us know your views in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

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Market News Top 10 News

PharmEasy to Acquire 66% Stake in Thyrocare – Top Indian Market News

PharmEasy to acquire 66% stake in Thyrocare for Rs 4,546 crore

PharmEasy, an Indian healthcare startup, will acquire a 66.1% stake in diagnostics solutions provider Thyrocare Technologies Ltd for Rs 4,546 crore. API Holdings Ltd, the parent company of PharmEasy, has signed definitive agreements to acquire a 66.1% stake at Rs 1,300 per share from Thyrocare’s promoters. This will be the first-ever acquisition of a listed company by an Indian startup unicorn. The transaction is subject to regulatory and other applicable customary approvals.

Read more here.

ONGC Q4 Results: Net profit at Rs 6,734 crore

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) reported a net profit of Rs 6,734 crore for the quarter ended March 2021 (Q4 FY21). It had posted a net loss of Rs 3,214 crore in the corresponding quarter last year (Q4 FY20). The company’s gross revenue declined by 1% YoY to Rs 21,189 crore in Q4 FY21. Net profit for the financial year ended March 31, 2021 (FY21) declined by 16% YoY to Rs 11,246 crore. ONGC’s board has recommended a final dividend of Rs 1.85 per share.

Read more here.

Shilpa Medicare gets DRDO approval to manufacture 2DG Covid-19 drug

Shilpa Medicare Ltd has received in-principle approval from the Defence Research & Development Organisation (DRDO) to manufacture and sell 2-Deoxy-D-Glucose (2DG). The drug has been given emergency approval by the Drugs Controller General of India (DCGI) for Covid-19 patients in the country. Shilpa Medicare is the second company (after Dr. Reddy’s Labs) to have entered into a similar arrangement with DRDO.

Read more here.

IGL Q4 Results: Net profit rises 31% YoY to Rs 332 crore

Indraprastha Gas Ltd (IGL) reported a 31% YoY increase in standalone net profit to Rs 332.08 crore for the quarter ended March (Q4). Its revenue stood at Rs 1,700.52 crore in Q4 FY21, compared to Rs 1,697 crore in the corresponding quarter last year (Q4 FY20). IGL’s overall sales volumes grew 8% YoY to 614 million metric standard cubic meters (mmscm) in Q4 FY21. Net profit for the financial year ended March 31, 2021 (FY21) declined by 11% YoY to Rs 1,005 crore. IGL’s board has recommended a dividend of Rs 3.6 per share.

Read more here.

Tata Consumer to integrate distribution network, supply chain to drive efficiency

Tata Consumer Products Ltd (TCPL) is integrating its distribution network and supply chain to drive efficiency. The company will undertake end-to-end digitalisation of channel partners by leveraging its wide product portfolio. TCPL will launch Eight O’Clock (an American gourmet coffee brand) in its direct-to-consumer (DTC) model next week. The FMCG firm is also using data analytics for strategic planning and is working to make its products available across the globe.

Read more here.

JSW Energy Q4 Results: Net profit falls 1.7% YoY to Rs 106 crore 

JSW Energy Limited reported a 1.7% YoY decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 106.60 crore for the quarter ended March (Q4). Net profit has fallen by 13.71% when compared to the previous quarter. Its total income declined by 12.64% YoY (or 2.72% QoQ) to Rs 1,614.09 crore during the same period. Net profit for the financial year ended March 31, 2021 (FY21) fell 27.68% YoY to Rs 795.48 crore. JSW Energy’s current portfolio consists of 30% renewable energy capacity. This is expected to increases to 70% by FY25.

Read more here.

MOIL signs pact with Madhya Pradesh govt, MPSMCL to explore manganese ore reserves

MOIL has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Madhya Pradesh government and the Madhya Pradesh State Mining Corp. Ltd (MPSMCL) to explore the possibilities of manganese ore mining in the state. The company has carried out detailed remote sensing with the help of the National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC) ISRO, Hyderabad, to identify manganese-bearing areas. MOIL has also carried out extensive fieldwork, followed by geological mapping and sampling in four districts.

Read more here.

Godfrey Phillips Q4 Results: Net profit jumps 146% YoY to Rs 95 crore

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd reported a 146.19 YoY jump in consolidated net profit to Rs 95.25 crore for the quarter ended March (Q4). Net profit has declined by 22.4% when compared to the previous quarter. Its revenue from operations rose 18% YoY to Rs 694.70 crore during the same period. Net profit for the financial year 2020-21 (FY21) fell 2.17% YoY to Rs 376.52 crore. The tobacco manufacturing company’s board has approved a dividend of Rs 24 per share.

Read more here.

Thermax secures Rs 250 crore order for a greenfield refinery in Latin America

Thermax Babcock & Wilcox Energy Solutions, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Thermax Ltd, has secured an order for a claus package and an oxidiser package in the suphur recovery unit for a greenfield refinery in Latin America. The customer, a globally renowned refining company, is setting up a new 340 million barrels per day (MBPD) crude oil refining capacity to increase the production of high-value distillates. This export order is worth Rs 250 crore. Thermax is a leading energy and environment solutions provider headquartered in Pune.

Read more here.

India Pesticides IPO subscribed 29.04 times on final day of bidding

The Rs 800 crore initial public offering (IPO) of India Pesticides Limited was subscribed 29.04 times on the final day of bidding. Investors have put in bids for 56.07 crore equity shares against the offer size of 1.93 crore shares. The portion reserved for retail investors was subscribed 11.3 times. The portion set aside for Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs) was subscribed 51.88 times, and that of Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) 42.95 times. 

To learn more about the IPO, click here.

Purvankara Q4 Results: Net profit at Rs 8.75 crore

Purvankara Ltd reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 8.75 crore for the quarter ended March 2021 (Q4 FY21). It had posted a net profit of Rs 0.35 crore in the corresponding quarter last year (Q4 FY20). The real estate developer’s total income declined by 12.9% YoY to Rs 339.39 crore in Q4 FY21. For the financial year ended March 31, 2021 (FY21), Purvankara posted a net loss of Rs 4.67 crore. This is compared to a net profit of Rs 88.35 crore in FY20.

Read more here.

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Market News Top 10 News

Tata Power Reports 10% YoY Rise in Net Profit – Top Indian Market News

Tata Power Q2 Results: Net Profit rises 10% YoY to Rs 371 crore

Tata Power Ltd. reported a 10% year-on-year (YoY) increase in consolidated net profit to Rs 370.9 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The company’s consolidated revenue increased by 15% YoY to Rs 8,413 crore, during the same period. Tata Power has stated that the rise in revenue was mainly due to a higher solar EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction) income.

Read more here.

ITC steps up game in India’s chocolate market with a dozen launches

ITC Limited is planning to achieve a bigger share in the Rs 11,000-crore chocolate segment in India, with over a dozen launches in the category during the festive season. The company has announced plans to give customers a differentiated experience and make a profitable business out of its chocolate segment. On 9th November, ITC had also announced the launch of around 70 products in the non-cigarettes fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) space.

Read more here.

M&M Q2 Results: Net Profit falls 3% YoY to Rs 1,311 crore

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. reported a 3% year-on-year (YoY) decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 1,311 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The company’s revenue increased by 6% YoY to Rs 11,590 crore, during the same period. M&M has stated that it has posted a strong performance in tractor sales, and its operations have nearly recovered to pre-Covid levels.

Read more here.

Gland Pharma IPO subscribed 8.6% on second day of bidding

Gland Pharma’s initial public offering (IPO) has been subscribed 8.6% on the second day of bidding. The IPO is worth Rs 6,480 crore. It has been reported that the company has received bids for 26.93 lakh equity shares against the IPO size of 3.02 crore equity shares. The issue will close on November 11.

Read more here.

Godfrey Phillips India Q2 Results: Net Profit declines 9% YoY to Rs 103 crore

Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. reported a 9.23% year-on-year (YoY) decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 103.06 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The total revenue from operations increased by 9.05% YoY to Rs 822.21 crore, during the same period. In a separate filing, the company stood behind its MD Bina Modi and called off allegations of illegality in her appointment. The allegations had been put forth by the company’s director Ruchir Modi.

Read more here.

Tata Communications secures order from De Tune

Tata Communications Ltd. has partnered with De Tune, a global industry-leading media and entertainment company. The telecommunications company would provide media network and cloud support to De Tune’s next-generation broadcast viewing experience for live events. With the help of Tata, De Tune can now transmit media content from simultaneous event locations to its studio in Los Angeles.

Hindalco Q2 Results: Net Profit falls 60% YoY to Rs 387 crore

Hindalco Industries Ltd. reported a 60% year-on-year (YoY) decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 387 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The company’s consolidated net sales increased by 5.3% YoY to Rs 31,237 crore, during the same period. Hindalco has stated that its aluminum and copper businesses have seen a sharp demand recovery to pre-Covid levels.

Read more here.

Wipro wins five-year contract from ThoughtSpot

Wipro Limited announced that it has won a five-year contract for software engineering services from ThoughtSpot. As per the agreement, Wipro will improve ThoughSpot’s Search and Analytics platform to help scale future development. US-based ThoughtSpot is an Artificial Intelligence-driven analytics platform.

Raymond Q2 Results: Net Loss stands at Rs 136 crore

Raymond Ltd. reported a net loss of Rs 136 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The textile firm had posted a net profit of Rs 86 crore in Q2 of the previous financial year. The company’s revenue declined by 64.2% YoY to Rs 674.21 crore in Q2 FY21.

Read more here.

GAIL Q2 Results: Net Profit declines 8.5% YoY to Rs 1,068 crore

GAIL (India) Limited reported an 8.5% year-on-year (YoY) decline in net profit to Rs 1,068.16 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The company’s revenue declined by 24.3% YoY to Rs 13,809.86 crore, during the same period. The Board of Directors of GAIL has approved a plan to raise Rs 10,000 crore through different forms of borrowings.

Read more here.

TTK Prestige Q2 Results: Net Profit falls 19% YoY to Rs 65 crore

TTK Prestige Ltd. reported an 18.54% year-on-year (YoY) decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 65.44 crore, for the quarter ended September (Q2). The kitchen appliances firm posted a 5.17% YoY increase in total income to Rs 644.22 crore, during the same period. The company’s board has announced an interim dividend of Rs 20 per share.

Read more here.