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Bearishness to Continue? – Post-Market Analysis

Post-market analysis for Aug 11, 2023:

NIFTY started the day at 19,554 with a gap-up of 11 points. The index made a nearly 70-point red candle at opening (crossing yesterday’s low and the round level support of 19,500) and made lower lows to hit 19,440 levels. At 1 PM, the index made a sharp rebound of 40 points in a single candle but couldn’t sustain it as the selling pressure kicked in. Then, the index continued the fall to breach the day’s low. Nifty closed at 19,428, down by 114 points or 0.59% 

Nifty chart Aug 11 - post-market analysis

BANK NIFTY (BNF) started the day at 44,568 with a small gap-up of 26 points. Bank Nifty fell 250 points in the first 5min itself (breaching the important support zone of 44,500) and fell to 44,270 levels. The index then consolidated within a 150-point range with volatility and broke down from the consolidation at 3 PM. BNF closed at 44,199, down by 342 points or 0.77%. 

Bank Nifty chart Aug 11 - post-market analysis

All indices except Nifty PSU Bank (+1.25%) closed in red. Nifty Media (-1.8%) fell the most. 

Major Asian markets closed mixed (the Chinese market fell 2%). European markets are currently trading in the red.

Today’s Moves

HCL Tech (+3.2%) was NIFTY50’s top gainer. The IT major announced a global strategic partnership with Verizon for managed network services.

Indian Overseas Bank (+13.36%) rallied after CARE Ratings assigned a fresh rating of CARE A1+ to the bank’s proposed certificate of deposits of ₹10,000 crore.

Kalyan Jewellers (+11.5%) jumped after HSBC raised its target price for the jewellery stock after the company posted its Q1 earnings.

IndusInd Bank (-2.3%) was NIFTY50’s top loser.

Apollo Tyres (-8.2%) crashed after the company reported lower-than-expected revenue growth in Q1.

Alkem Labs (-7.7%) fell sharply after the company reduced its India business revenue growth forecast to “high single-digit” from low double digits for FY24. BofA sees a downside of 15% to ₹3,500 for the stock.

Markets Ahead


The Indian markets are still looking very weak.

Nifty: The index has closed near the support zone of 19,420. So if there’s a flat or gap down opening on Monday, the index can further fall to 19,360 and 19,300 eventually. The important resistance level to watch out for is 19,500.

Nifty has filled the gap created near 19,420 levels and has taken support. So the index might move back up from here or take a pause. If the fall continues, then the levels mentioned above could be achieved.

Bank Nifty: The immediate support for the index can be 44,200 levels, and the major resistance will be 44,500 levels. But Bank Nifty is in a volatile zone between 44,500 and 43,400. So as long as the index is in this zone, there can be movements happening on both sides.

Monday’s opening will be crucial. If there’s a flat opening and selling continues or if it’s a gap-down opening, both indices may continue to fall.

The inflation rate in the US climbed 3.2% YoY in July, as compared to analyst expectations of 3.3%. This data is the key metric the US Federal Reserve will consider in deciding whether to continue raising interest rates. On the other hand, India’s industrial production fell to 3.7% in June 2023, compared to 5.3% in May 2022 and 12.6% in June 2022.

How did this week go? Are you in net profit or loss? Let us know in the comments section of the marketfeed app.

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Market News Top 10 News

BSE’s Total Investor Count Touches 12 Crore – Top Indian Market Updates

Here are some of the major updates that could move the markets tomorrow:

BSE adds 1 crore investors in 148 days

Stock exchange BSE Limited has added 1 crore registered investor accounts to its platform in just 148 days, taking the total count to 12 crore. Maharashtra leads in terms of investors with a share of 20% of the total 12 crore investors. This is followed by Gujarat at 10%, Uttar Pradesh at 9%, and Rajasthan & Tamil Nadu at 6% each. Founded in 1875, BSE is the world’s fastest stock exchange with a speed of 6 microseconds.

Read more here.

Tata Motors to hike commercial vehicle prices by 2%

Tata Motors Ltd will increase the prices of its commercial vehicles by up to 2% from January 2023 to partly offset a steep rise in input costs. The automaker also added that the price increase will vary across models and variants, but will be applicable across all commercial vehicles. Shares of Tata Motors (up 1.2% at ₹419.3) were largely steady after the announcement.

In other news, Tata Motors’ board has approved the partial divestment of its equity shares in its subsidiary Tata Technologies via an initial public offer (IPO).

Read more here.

Automobile sales continue to grow even after festive season: SIAM

Sales of automobiles continued to grow on a strong note even after the festive season, with customer demand remaining healthy amid an improvement in supplies. According to data released by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), around 2,76,231 passenger vehicles were sold in November— an increase of 28% over 2,15,626 units sold in the same period last year.

Read more here.

Vedanta signs pacts with 30 Japanese firms to develop Indian semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem

Vedanta Group has signed pacts with 30 Japanese technology companies to develop an Indian semiconductor and glass display manufacturing ecosystem. The pacts were signed at the Vedanta-Avanstrate Business Partners Summit 2022 held last week in Tokyo, Japan. The company is committed to making India a hub for electronics manufacturing.

Read more here.

NTPC’s 240 MW Devikot solar project begins commercial operation

NTPC Ltd’s 240 megawatts (MW) Devikot solar project at Jaisalmer in Rajasthan has begun commercial operations. With this, the standalone installed and commercial capacity of the NTPC has become 58,041.27 MW. The total installed and commercial capacity of NTPC has become 70,656.27 MW.

Read more here

Bad loans worth ₹10 lakh crore written off by banks in last five financial years: Finance Minister

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said bad loans worth ₹10,09,511 crore have been written off by banks during the last five financial years. The bad loans or non-performing assets (NPAs), including those in respect of which full provisioning has been made on completion of four years, have been removed from the balance sheet of the bank concerned by way of a write-off.

Read more here.

TCS partners with Gujarat government to impart digital skills in schools

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) has partnered with Gujarat’s Samagra Shiksha, Gujarat Council of School Education, to train school students and teachers in new-age digital skills such as computational and design thinking. TCS’ Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) program will bring the company’s flagship global initiatives (Ignite My Future and goIT) to schools in the state.

Read more here.

U.S. CPI fell to 7.1% in November, lower than expected

The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) jumped 7.1% in November from a year ago, down from 7.7% in October. Headline inflation has now fallen for five months in a row. But it still remains more than three times the Federal Reserve’s target level of 2.0%. The monthly Core CPI came in at 0.2%, compared to analysts’ estimate of 0.3%.

Read more here.

Categories
Market News Top Global News

U.S. Markets Recover from Gap-Down; Bond Yields Bouncing Back – Top International News

Stocks Recover from Gap-Down; Bond Yields Bouncing Back

Stocks in the U.S. market opened with a gap-down and recovered after bond yield tried to move up in the opening hours of the day. 

The S&P 500 crept into the green, bouncing up more than 0.64% from the day-low. Meanwhile, crude oil prices and bond yields fell after opening with a gap-up on Monday. Currently, strong corporate earnings and economic numbers are pushing the market up which is being hit by the global energy shortages.

  • Stoxx Europe is down by 0.49%
  • Dow Jones is flat
  • NASDAQ is up by 0.45%

Goldman Sachs Set to Own All of China Unit

China has signaled that it will be opening up its financial system to big players from the U.S. by approving Goldman Sachs Group Inc’s application to full ownership of a key local unit that it has co-owned since 2004. The wholly-owned subsidiary will perform most key banking operations such as investment banking functions, trading, and wealth management. This clearance to own all of its operations by itself happened after Morgan Stanley earlier secured majority ownership of its operations in China. 

Former USFDA Commissioner Calls For A Probe Into Delta Plus Covid Variant

Former US FDA (Food and Drug Administration) Commissioner Scott Gottlieb on Monday called for thorough research into the mutated version of the delta variant, delta plus as Covid-19 cases surge in the U.K. He said that there is no clear indication that it’s more transmissible, but needs deeper analysis on this. The U.K. on Sunday has reported the highest daily rise in new cases since mid-July.

Amazon Seeks to Hire 150,000 Seasonal U.S. Workers

Amidst the unemployment crisis in the US, Amazon.com Inc. sought to hire 150,000 seasonal workers as the holiday season is around the corner. Competing companies such as Walmart Inc. and Target Corp. have also indicated plans to increase their hiring.  Many industries have been finding it difficult to hire during the pandemic as the labour force shrunk by 4.3 million workers compared to pre-pandemic levels.

The Indian market is also having a festive season with many consumer durables stocks including Havells, Bluestarco moving up for the last many weeks.

Green Investing Looks to Clean Up the Maritime Industry

Sustainable investing has been gaining traction as indicated by Seaspan Corp, the world’s largest containership lessor, selling blue bonds worth nearly $1 billion. These blue bonds are issued in the promise of funding vessels that will lower emissions and pollution at sea and are derived from the concept of green bonds which seek to fund environment positive initiatives. 

The first blue bond was headed by the country Seychelles and World Bank, raising $15 million. The increase in investors due to such environmentally-friendly objectives should ideally reduce the borrowing costs for the companies. But there is no guarantee that the funds are being directed to the promised projects.

China slows down with a weak GDP growth of 4.9% in third-quarter

China’s GDP grew only 4.9% in the third quarter from a year ago compared to the expected 5.2% as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics. Industrial production did not reach the expected 4.5% mark and grew only by 3.1% in September. The power and shortage and rise in coal prices which led to many factories shutting down production is believed to have affected the growth.  Data also reveals the hesitation of businesses to invest in future projects. On a positive note, retail sales beat expectations crossing the predicted 3.3% growth to hit a 4.4% growth.

Geely’s Volvo Cars Gets Ready For Listing

Volvo Cars, owned by Geely said on Monday its Initial Public Offering(IPO) is priced within a range of 53 to 68 Swedish crowns(Rs 461-591) per share, with a valuation up to $23 billion(Rs 1,73,220 crores)and is expected to be one Europe’s biggest listings this year. The maker of models such as the high-end XC-90 SUV is expecting to raise $2.9 billion(Rs 21,800 crores) through the listing. At the time of writing Geely Holding is up by nearly 2%.

Oil prices climb to highest in years with COVID recovery

Brent crude oil futures reached the highest price since October 2018, rising by 1% to hit $85.73 a barrel and US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose by 1.4% reaching $83.40, the highest ever since October 2014. The rise in oil prices takes place as oil and diesel seem cheaper compared to gas and coal. Expect higher petrol prices in India also soon!

Categories
Market News Top Global News

US Inflation Rises 5.4% YoY in September – Top International News

U.S. Markets Move Down Slowly; CPI Rises 5.4% YoY

U.S markets slowly moved down after a mixed opening, fueled by a 5.4% YoY increase in the consumer price index (CPI) due to supply disruptions. Crude oil is trading calm above the important resistance level around 82.5, after its rally to a 7-years high.

The S&P 500 fell for the fourth day after a small gap-up opening, while the 10-year Treasury yield slipped below 1.55%, The lower rates cooled off the pressure on tech shares, helping the NASDAQ100 to trade in the green.

  • Stoxx Europe is up by 0.77%
  • Dow Jones is down by 0.48%
  • NASDAQ is up by 0.40%

Apple likely to Cut iPhone Production Due to Chip Shortage

US tech giant Apple is the latest one to take a hit due to chip shortage as it may cut the projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by nearly 1 crore units to 8 crores. The company was expecting to produce 9 crore new iPhones from October to December of 2021, but Broadcom and Texas Instruments are struggling to deliver enough components for manufacturing. Over the past few days, Indian automakers were commenting that the chip crisis is cooling off. Let’s keep an eye on what’s happening in the coming days, as the Indian auto sector is having a bull run this week.

U.S Inflation Increases to 5.4% YoY in Sept

The Labor Department announced that the U.S consumer price index rose 5.4% in September from a year ago period and a 0.4% increase compared to August. The core inflation (excluding the volatile food and energy categories) rose 0.2% in September and 4% compared to a year ago. Powell and the White House have blamed supply chain disruptions for the high inflation.

China Coal Prices Hit Fresh Record Highs

China’s thermal coal prices on Wednesday rose to fresh record highs as recent floods affected major coal production plants. The country has already taken a range of steps to boost coal production and manage electricity demand at industrial plants, while power producers and other coal users have been increasing imports.

Hong Kong Suspends Stock Trading Due to Typhoon Kompasu

Hong Kong canceled its $6.3 trillion stock market trading on Wednesday as strong winds and rain from typhoon Kompasu affected the financial hub. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing suspended securities trading, including the Hong Kong-China stock connect and derivatives markets, on Wednesday after Kompasu affected after-hours trading on Tuesday.

Can’t Blame Climate Policies for the Energy Crisis: IEA 

International Energy Agency (IEA) said that government climate policies and the transition away from fossil fuels are not the reasons for the energy crisis in Europe and Asia. The rise in natural gas and oil prices is more a result of the economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, which is boosted by a series of supply disruptions, long winter in Europe, and the drought in Brazil.

Hollywood Union To Walk Out on October 18

The International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees (IATSE), which represents thousands of art directors, camera operators, and editors, set October 18 as the strike date due to a dispute over pay and work conditions. This move will increase the pressure on studios, which are already struggling to shoot movies and shows due to pandemic restrictions. Both Netflix and Walt Disney are currently facing a weaker-than-expected growth in online subscriptions due to the challenges of getting new programming.